A Listing in Congress Park May Be a Predictor of the Future of Denver’s Real Estate Market

Reality can be challenging.

As a real estate broker I am also a voyeur. I look at the new listings daily on behalf of clients and also for myself as it is no secret, my wife and I sold our Cherry Creek North residence and are casually looking for a replacement residence.

Concerning the listing; as it is public information and being marketed here is the address: 827 Jackson Street, Denver.

I viewed the listing on the MLS and was intrigued. To be honest I am not the strongest proponent of the eastern streets of the Congress Park neighborhood i.e. Garfield St, Jackson St and Harrison St as they are impacted by Colorado Boulevard coupled with mixed-uses i.e. single-family, rental and condo apartments, parking lots and so forth. Sale prices on those eastern blocks generally lag the more central Congress Park neighborhood streets.

Full disclosure I lived on the east-side of the 200 block Harrison St abutting Colorado Boulevard thus I am well aware of the impacts on real estate values.

Back to the listing. While offering in my humble opinion limited curb appeal I will be honest the interior images presented on the MLS caught my eye, well worth a visit.  I scheduled a preview and visited the listing within the first week on the market.

A unique design with a front room incorporating design elements of a loft i.e. vaulted ceilings, exposed electrical conduit, support beams and so forth. The kitchen while small is efficient and well-designed. The two bedrooms are quite small and the one bathroom on the at-grade level is ¾ i.e. lacking a bathtub and would be challenging for two persons to use at the same time. Also due to location of the bathroom, access is via one of the bedrooms or through the kitchen, no direct access from public/entertainment areas of the home.

The basement is attractive, finished and rarely found, walk-out to the back yard via stairs. There is also a full bathroom in the basement including a tub. However it is a basement and thus some prospective buyers may be challenged by the below grade orientation.

Overall impression, a darling house, perfect for a first-time buyer but definitely not for us for reasons that are personal.

Now concerning the listing, the pricing and the marketing.

First, a history of the residence:

  • April 2008: Listed at $284,900
  • May 2008: Reduced to $277,500
  • July 2008: Sold $280,000

 

  • Nov 2009: Listed at $329,000
  • Dec 2009: Sold $301,900
    • Gross Profit: $21,900 before commissions and closing costs.
  • Aug 2015: Listed at $400,000
  • Oct 2015: Sold $380,000
    • Gross Profit: $78,100 before commissions and closing costs.

Now this is where the listing becomes interesting. It seems the buyer in October 2015 embarked on a renovation of the interior with the updated loft-style design orientation as mentioned prior.

  • June 2018: Listed for $585,000
  • June 2018: Sold for $620,000
    • Gross Profit: $240,000 before renovation costs, commissions and closing costs.

One must assume multiple bids and sold for $35,000 above the original list price. The Listing Broker and the Selling/Buyer Broker are both affiliated with Liv Sothebys one of the dominant and well respected real estate brokerages in Metro Denver.

Yet less than one year after the sale where the buyer paid $35,000 over the asking price, the residence is back on the market:

  • April 2019: Listed for $650,000
  • May 2019: Reduced to $635,000

The residence is now being listed by Redfin AKA Real Estate Redefined, a full-service real estate brokerage which promotes savings on both listings and purchases. The seller has signed with Redfin and I presume agreed to a commission of between 1% and 1.5% (as noted on their web site) so I assume for this blog entry 1.25% or $7,937 based on the reduced $635,000 asking price. Of note while not a fixed rate based on discussion with peer brokers affiliated with traditional full-service firms, the listing brokers I work with are in the 2.9%-3.3% range concerning a listing commission.

Per the listing on the MLS the co-op commission i.e. the commission paid to the broker representing the buyer which is paid for by the seller is listed at 2.8%. Thus if sold for $635,000 the co-op commission would be $17,780. Add the Redfin listing fee of $7,937, the seller is paying in excess of $25,000 in commissions to sell the property.

However the home is listed at $635,000 down from $650,000. Thus even if sold for the asking of $635,000, deduct $25,000 for commissions and even before closing costs and title insurance we are now at $610,000 or $10,000 below what the seller paid one year ago in what I assume was a multiple bid situation.

The reality is even with the use of a lower-cost brokerage option i.e. Redfin, the seller will still be losing money from their original purchase. This happens and it is becoming more frequent as the pinnacle of the market seems to be behind us and head-winds seem to be ahead of us. Buyers who acquired between 2016 and 2018 seem to be taking the losses especially those on the upper tier of the market.

When the seller purchased for $620,000 or $35,000 over the asking they probably assumed a continued upward trajectory concerning value and thus bid over asking. I do not know the circumstances for the sale and subsequent loss. I assume a loss of value was not considered when the multiple prospective buyers were submitting their highest and best offers a year ago.

 

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s